Estimate | Prediction time points | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
1 month | 2 months | 3 months | 6 months | |
Model1: Clinical features (C-index = 0.66) | ||||
 AUC (95% CI a) | 0.73 (0.73–0.93) | 0.70 (0.64–0.82) | 0.73 (0.65–0.86) | 0.74 (0.66–0.89) |
 Sensitivity | 68% | 67% | 69% | 69% |
 Specificity | 68% | 69% | 67% | 69% |
Model2: Clinical + intratumoral (C-index = 0.68) | ||||
 AUC (95% CI) | 0.71 (0.60–0.75) | 0.74 (0.64–0.79) | 0.77 (0.68–0.82) | 0.68 (0.67–0.70) |
 Sensitivity | 73% | 72% | 71% | 71% |
 Specificity | 67% | 67% | 74% | 66% |
Model3: Clinical + intratumoral + peritumoral-vasculature (C-index = 0.83) | ||||
 AUC (95% CI) | 0.80 (0.71–0.93) | 0.76 (0.72–0.84) | 0.80 (0.71–0.88) | 0.77 (0.70–0.95) |
 Sensitivity | 70% | 75% | 76% | 82% |
 Specificity | 74% | 70% | 76% | 70% |
Statistical comparison in AUC (p-value) | ||||
 Model 1 vs. 3 | < 0.001 | < 0.001 | < 0.001 | < 0.001 |
 Model 2 vs. 3 | < 0.001 | 0.004 | < 0.001 | < 0.001 |